Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036325 0.039552 0.042800 0.046310 0.049988 0.053723 0.057796
2025-11-16 0.030880 0.035621 0.040552 0.046041 0.051957 0.058119 0.065001
2025-11-23 0.027818 0.033757 0.040112 0.047361 0.055351 0.063840 0.073493
2025-11-30 0.025254 0.032115 0.039646 0.048427 0.058291 0.068944 0.081237
2025-12-07 0.022914 0.030472 0.038967 0.049069 0.060612 0.073258 0.088033
2025-12-14 0.020664 0.028717 0.037981 0.049206 0.062233 0.076690 0.093768
2025-12-21 0.019308 0.027890 0.037963 0.050360 0.064934 0.081278 0.100757
2025-12-28 0.017105 0.025859 0.036375 0.049549 0.065257 0.083077 0.104518
2026-01-04 0.015676 0.024682 0.035723 0.049768 0.066716 0.086125 0.109661
2026-01-11 0.014633 0.023918 0.035513 0.050461 0.068691 0.089736 0.115428
2026-01-18 0.013645 0.023151 0.035240 0.051030 0.070477 0.093102 0.120891
2026-01-25 0.011797 0.021096 0.033225 0.049347 0.069469 0.093113 0.122388
2026-02-01 0.010560 0.019826 0.032190 0.048882 0.069955 0.094929 0.126062
2026-02-08 0.009516 0.018755 0.031362 0.048639 0.070686 0.097023 0.130061
2026-02-15 0.009141 0.018639 0.031801 0.050020 0.073437 0.101557 0.136976
2026-02-22 0.008703 0.018395 0.032042 0.051130 0.075841 0.105673 0.143400
2026-03-01 0.008156 0.017940 0.031964 0.051798 0.077674 0.109088 0.148986
2026-03-08 0.007488 0.017245 0.031513 0.051941 0.078821 0.111650 0.153539
2026-03-15 0.007185 0.017117 0.031852 0.053134 0.081306 0.115858 0.160088
2026-03-22 0.006329 0.016003 0.030720 0.052296 0.081144 0.116775 0.162627
2026-03-29 0.005830 0.015454 0.030385 0.052523 0.082345 0.119371 0.167204
2026-04-05 0.005494 0.015165 0.030415 0.053239 0.084175 0.122747 0.172734
2026-04-12 0.005149 0.014831 0.030361 0.053826 0.085829 0.125899 0.177991